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POPULAR NEWS
Gold futures pull back from a fresh 9-year peak, but hold above $1,800 an ounce

Gold futures ended lower on Thursday, pulling back a day after scoring another settlement at the highest since September 2011, but the haven metal held ground above $1,800 an ounce after data showed weekly U.S. jobless claims remained well above one million. August gold fell $16.80, or 0.9%, to settle at $1,803.80 an ounce, a day after the most-active contract rose 0.6% to settle at $1,820.60, the highest since Sept. 14, 2011, according to FactSet data. Prices on Thursday touched a low of...

Gold Holds Near 2011 High on Virus Concerns, Dollar

Gold held near the highest level in almost nine years as concerns over the coronavirus pandemic drives demand for haven assets, while the dollar slipped. The number of confirmed infections in the U.S. surpassed 3 million, representing a quarter of global cases. California and Texas, the two most populous states, reported some of their largest daily rises in cases and deaths. Spot gold little changed at $1,809.01/oz at 8:09am in Singapore. On Wednesday, prices touched...

Gold Futures Slip, Set to Take a Breather after Carving Out Fresh 9-Year Peak

Gold futures edged back early Thursday, giving up some of its gains after the precious metal scored another settlement at the highest since September 2011, but silver and platinum futures were staging a sharp advance. Precious metals have mostly benefited from expectations for a lengthy period of government and central bank stimulus to support economies harmed by the COVID-19 pandemic, but some analysts say that July also has been a seasonally strong period for gold due to heightened physical...

Dollar rises from four-week low as US stocks retreat

The dollar rallied from a four-week low in choppy trading on Thursday, enhancing the greenback's safe-haven appeal, as U.S. stocks fell with market sentiment turning cautious as the United States hit another record high on new coronavirus cases. The euro, meanwhile, fell from a one-month high versus the dollar, while commodity currencies, which tend to rise when there's higher risk appetite also slid against the greenback. Some analysts said dollar sentiment turned higher after the U.S....

Hong Kong Stocks Close On Strong Note (Review)

Hong Kong stocks finished with more gains on Thursday, in line with advances across Asia following another record-breaking lead from Wall Street. The Hang Seng Index rose 0.31 percent, or 80.98 points, to 26,210.16. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index climbed 1.39 percent, or 47.15 points, to 3,450.59 while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China's second exchange jumped 2.70 percent, or 59.33 points, to 2257.95. Source : AFP

BOE Says Brexit Uncertainty Skews Forecasts, Keeps Rate on Hold
Thursday, 1 August 2019 18:26 WIB | FISCAL & MONETARY |BOE

The Bank of England said it™s less confident than usual about the outlook for the economy because of Brexit and offered little new insight into the impact of no deal.

The comments are the first from the bank since Boris Johnson became prime minster on a mission to leave the European Union on Oct. 31 with or without new trading arrangements in place. If there™s no deal, the BOE merely noted again that the pound will fall, inflation will accelerate and growth will slow.

In its new forecasts Thursday, it specifically excluded the possibility of no deal. It assumes a smooth Brexit and reiterated that interest rates will need to gradually rise to bring inflation to target.

While that means Governor Mark Carney avoids a political headache, it will disappoint others who are looking for more clues as to how the BOE might respond to no deal.

That communications problem has dogged the governor for some time. To account for the market currently pricing in a rate cut because of the greater chance of a bumpy departure from the EU, it gave some stylized forecasts based on higher pound and interest rates. They show much slower inflation than the central scenario.

œThe increased uncertainty about the nature of EU withdrawal meant that the economy could follow a wide range of paths over coming years, the BOE said. œThe appropriate path of monetary policy would depend on the balance of the effects of Brexit on demand, supply and exchange rate.

The bank™s rate-setting committee voted unanimously to hold the key rate at 0.75% and to keep asset purchases unchanged.

As Brexit keeps the BOE in wait-and-see mode, the world™s biggest central banks are turning dovish as global growth cools and trade tensions persist. The Federal Reserve on Wednesday delivered a quarter-point cut and suggested there™s more to come. The European Central Bank is looking at adding more stimulus as early as September.

Investors expect the next BOE move to be a cut rather than a hike.

Acknowledging the weaker global backdrop, the BOE lowered its forecast for economic growth this year, sees slower export growth and weak business investment persisting into 2020.

In the stylized forecasts, one quarter-point rate hike over the next three years brings inflation below the 2% target.

That compares with a central forecast, based on the market™s expectation of a quarter-point cut, for inflation to pick up to 2.4%. The forecast also sees excess demand at a whopping 1.75%.

In normal circumstances, that would imply that the BOE should be raising rates soon. But given the uncertainty around Brexit, all nine policy makers deemed the current stance appropriate.

Source : Bloomberg

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold futures pull back from a fresh 9-year peak, but hold above $1,800 an ounce

Gold futures ended lower on Thursday, pulling back a day after scoring another settlement at the highest since September 2011, but the haven metal held ground above $1,800 an ounce after data showed weekly U.S. jobless claims remained well above one million. August gold fell $16.80, or 0.9%, to settle at $1,803.80 an ounce, a day after the most-active contract rose 0.6% to settle at $1,820.60, the highest since Sept. 14, 2011, according to FactSet data. Prices on Thursday touched a low of...

Gold Holds Near 2011 High on Virus Concerns, Dollar

Gold held near the highest level in almost nine years as concerns over the coronavirus pandemic drives demand for haven assets, while the dollar slipped. The number of confirmed infections in the U.S. surpassed 3 million, representing a quarter of global cases. California and Texas, the two most populous states, reported some of their largest daily rises in cases and deaths. Spot gold little changed at $1,809.01/oz at 8:09am in Singapore. On Wednesday, prices touched...

Gold Futures Slip, Set to Take a Breather after Carving Out Fresh 9-Year Peak

Gold futures edged back early Thursday, giving up some of its gains after the precious metal scored another settlement at the highest since September 2011, but silver and platinum futures were staging a sharp advance. Precious metals have mostly benefited from expectations for a lengthy period of government and central bank stimulus to support economies harmed by the COVID-19 pandemic, but some analysts say that July also has been a seasonally strong period for gold due to heightened physical...

Dollar rises from four-week low as US stocks retreat

The dollar rallied from a four-week low in choppy trading on Thursday, enhancing the greenback's safe-haven appeal, as U.S. stocks fell with market sentiment turning cautious as the United States hit another record high on new coronavirus cases. The euro, meanwhile, fell from a one-month high versus the dollar, while commodity currencies, which tend to rise when there's higher risk appetite also slid against the greenback. Some analysts said dollar sentiment turned higher after the U.S....

Hong Kong Stocks Close On Strong Note (Review)

Hong Kong stocks finished with more gains on Thursday, in line with advances across Asia following another record-breaking lead from Wall Street. The Hang Seng Index rose 0.31 percent, or 80.98 points, to 26,210.16. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index climbed 1.39 percent, or 47.15 points, to 3,450.59 while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China's second exchange jumped 2.70 percent, or 59.33 points, to 2257.95. Source : AFP

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