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Gold prices settle higher to cut their loss for the week

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BMO Sees Average Gold Price of $1,280/Oz in 2018
Wednesday, 20 December 2017 05:00 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

Gold prices will average $1,280 an ounce in 2018, with buying interest, as an inflation hedge and due to loose monetary policy globally, offset by a strong U.S. dollar, said BMO Capital Markets in a report late Monday.

œA slow and steady interest-rate hike cycle proposed by the Federal Reserve and subdued investor demand are expected to keep prices in check and cap any significant upside potential, the bank said.

Analysts described the metal as œremarkably stable over the last two years, compared to the broader commodity complex, saying gold prices were range-bound during normalization of monetary policy and as dissipating geopolitical risks meant less safe-haven interest. This was offset by building inflationary pressures, which meant some market participants are looking to increase their allocation to gold as a hedge.

œWe see benefit coming from still-loose monetary policy and renewed inflation concerns, but potential for headwinds from dollar strength, BMO said.

Macroeconomic data point to a strong U.S. economy, with the labor market nearing full employment, BMO said. U.S. inflation is forecast to slowly move toward the long-term target of 2%, BMO continued. The market anticipates at least two more Federal Reserve rate hikes in 2018 in the wake of another 25-basis-point tightening in December.

œWith this outlook already priced in at the current price levels, we do not expect a significant deviation from the expected range-bound outlook over the near term unless the U.S. Fed drastically shifts from its current policy framework, BMO said.

Traders will be closely watching for any monetary-policy signals from incoming Fed Chair Jerome Powell, although he is expected to maintain the course set by outgoing Chair Janet Yellen, BMO said.

Meanwhile, gold should benefit from œover-allocation by investors in emerging-market nations who have a lack of other options, BMO said.

The bank™s $1,280-an-ounce outlook for gold in 2018 is a downward revision of 1.5% from its previous estimate. Analysts then look for a $1,250 gold average in 2019.

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold prices settle higher to cut their loss for the week

Gold prices settled higher Friday, cutting their loss for the week down to roughly 0.1%, with the market wary of a potential U.S. government shutdown this weekend. The weekly decline for the yellow metal, however, followed five weeks of gains in a row. February gold rose $5.90, or 0.4%, to settle at $1,333.10 an ounce. U.S. economic data released Friday was downbeat, with consumer sentiment for January falling to a six-month low. Gold saw a temporary boost in the data™s wake, briefly...

Dollar marks fifth weekly loss in a row

The U.S. dollar pared earlier losses on Friday, but notched a fifth weekly loss, as investor concerns over a potential government shutdown. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index which measures the buck against a basket of six rivals, was last at 90.593, up 0.1%, having erased its losses after trading around the lowest level in three years earlier in the session. On the week, the ICE index slipped 0.4%, making it its fifth week of losses in a row. The broader WSJ Dollar Index was little changed at 84.42,...

Dollar Slides Back to 3-Year Low on Fears of Government Shutdown

The dollar fell anew on Friday, as concerns over a potential government shutdown outweighed a rally in U.S. Treasury yields, which usually is supportive for the greenback. The ICE U.S. Dollar Index, which measures the buck against a basket of six rivals, fell 0.3% to 90.243, trading around the lowest level in three years. The broader WSJ Dollar Index fell 0.3% to 84.18. The euro rose to $1.2271 from $1.2239 late Thursday in New York. The shared currency is on track for a 0.6% weekly jump...

Asian Stocks Set for Sixth Weekly Gain as Japanese Stocks Climb

Asian stocks rebounded, led by industrial and technology stocks, setting the stage for the benchmark index™s sixth week of gains amid global growth optimism. The MSCI Asia Pacific Index advanced 0.8 percent to 183.71 as of 4:50 p.m. in Hong Kong. Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co.™s shares closed 2.8 percent higher to another record after reporting better-than-expected quarterly results. Japan™s Topix index rose 0.7 percent with electronics and machinery makers...

Apple to Build 2nd Campus, Hire 20,000 in $350B Pledge

Apple is planning to build another corporate campus and hire 20,000 workers during the next five years as part of a $350 billion commitment to the U.S. economy. The pledge announced Wednesday is an offshoot from the sweeping overhaul of the U.S. tax code championed by President Donald Trump and approved by Congress last month. Besides dramatically lowering the standard corporate tax rate, the reforms offer a one-time break on cash being held overseas. Apple plans to take advantage of that...

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