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POPULAR NEWS
Gold Prices Settle at a Nearly 4-Month Low as Dollar Perks Up

Gold prices on Tuesday finished lower as one popular measure of the U.S. dollar teetered near a two-year high, producing headwinds for bullion. Gold for June delivery declined $4.40, or 0.3%, to settle at $1,273.20 an ounce, with the commodity suffering from the lowest most-active contract settlement since Dec. 26, according to FactSet data. The moves come as the ICE U.S. Dollar Index a key gauge of the greenback against six major rivals, was up 0.4% at 97.657. A move above 97.71 would mark...

Gold Ends Higher as The U.S. Stock Market Pauses Its Rally

Gold futures ended higher on Wednesday, rebounding from their lowest levels of the year, as a rally in stocks that took two of the three main U.S. equity indexes to records cooled, providing support for the haven metal. However, a perky dollar ” hovering around its highest level in about 22 months ” kept prices for the metal off the session™s high. Gold for June delivery rose $6.20, or 0.5%, to settle at $1,279.40 an ounce. The most-active contract settled at its lowest levels since...

Gold prices retreat to nearly 4-month low as dollar perks up

Gold prices on Tuesday headed lower as one popular measure of the U.S. dollar teetered near a two-year high, producing some headwinds for bullion. Gold for June delivery declined $3.80, or 0.3%, to trade at $1,273.80 an ounce, pushing the commodity back to its lowest level for a most-active contract since Dec. 26, according to FactSet data. The moves comes as the ICE U.S. Dollar Index a key gauge of greenback against six major rivals, was up 0.1% at 97.345. A climb to 97.71, would mark the...

USD/JPY clings to 112.00 as Tokyo opens for an active day

The USD/JPY pair is on the rounds near 111.90 as Tokyo market opens for Tuesday™s trading session. The quote seesawed at the start while marking initial reaction to the news reports that signal hardships for Iranian crude exports from the US and expected cross-party talks to safeguard her position by the UK PM May. With some of the global markets being absent of Monday, coupled with lack of big releases, traders remained mostly calm except favoring oil on supply crunch expectations and...

Oil Extends Rally; Saudis Seen Keeping Market Tight

Now that the Saudis have President Donald Trump where they want him, they're likely to milk his decision to ban Iranian oil for whatever it's worth before slowly releasing more barrels of their own to the market. New York-traded West Texas Intermediate crude settled up 75 cents, or 1.1%, at $66.30 per barrel. That extended Monday's 3% rally sparked by Trump's decision not to renew sanction waivers for importers of Iranian oil. London-traded Brent settled up higher by 47 cents, or 0.63%, at...

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Prospek 2019: Outlook Paling Bullish Sejauh Ini
Monday, 7 January 2019 11:30 WIB | GOLD CORNER |

Para bulls emas kembali. Setelah setahun melihat harga emas lebih lemah, investor dan analis sama-sama mengadopsi optimisme baru untuk tahun baru. Meskipun sentimen dalam seri Outlook 2019 kami telah bervariasi sejauh ini, tidak dapat disangkal bahwa beberapa ahli dogmatis berada di kamp "bull".

Berikut adalah pandangan paling bullish yang kami tayangkan dalam seri sejauh ini, dan alasan yang mendukung pandangan ini.

Pada 2019 akan terlihat beberapa goyangan dari angin yang mendukung emas, termasuk akhir dari rentetan penguatan dolar dan pasar ekuitas akan lebih bergejolak, kata Will Rhind, CEO GraniteShares.

œSaya pikir kita bisa melihat perubahan yang cukup signifikan jika ada kenaikan suku bunga di bulan Desember. Saya pikir itu benar-benar meningkatkan kemungkinan aksi jual pasar saham saat memasuki tahun depan. Jadi, kita sudah mendapatkan dolar yang kuat seperti yang Anda tahu saat ini, saya pikir bahwa kenaikan suku bunga pada tingkat ini membuat sulit untuk melihat seberapa jauh dolar bisa melangkah lebih tinggi dari sini, "kata Rhind kepada Kitco News.

Ekuitas sudah menunjukkan tanda-tanda masalah, kata Rhind.

"VIX mulai meningkat lagi, yang mana jelas merupakan level, atau ukuran volatilitas di pasar, dan indeks itu keluar dari posisi terendahnya, dan saya pikir kita bisa melihat lebih banyak volatilitas, terutama saat memasuki tahun depan," katanya .

Rhind mencatat bahwa emas biasanya tidak langsung menguat selama aksi jual ekuitas seiring logam kuning tidak berkorelasi negatif dengan saham sekuat dolar. Ketika saham jatuh, reaksi pasar biasanya langsung berduyun-duyun mencari keselamatan di tempat berlindung seperti dolar, dan emas hanya akan melihat momennya bersinar ketika investor merelokasi aset lebih jauh, kata Rind.

Bukan masalah apakah emas akan naik pada tahun 2019, melainkan seberapa banyak emas akan naik, menurut Mike McGlone, ahli strategi komoditas senior di Bloomberg Intelligence.

"Bagi saya, gambaran besar untuk emas yang saya temukan sangat membingungkan, artinya saya takut berapa banyak emas bisa naik. Bagi saya, emas itu seperti gas alam, artinya emas terkompresi dalam kisaran tersempit dalam dua tahun terakhir, mungkin 36 bulan, kata McGlone kepada Kitco News.

Terlepas dari kinerja emas yang lesu, banyak penggerak yang berubah positif, terutama penyimpangan emas dari dolar, katanya.

"Volatilitas pasar saham meningkat, dari yang terendah ... dan dolar memiliki tahun yang kuat secara substansial. Dolar AS menjadi kelas aset utama berkinerja terbaik di planet ini tahun ini. Naik 8% tahun ini, namun emas akan bergerak naik / turun 6%. Bagi saya, saya melihat tanda penguatan yang berbeda, katanya.

Beberapa faktor ekonomi makro dapat membentuk lingkungan bullish untuk emas pada 2019, khususnya dolar AS yang lebih lemah, kata Erik Norland, ekonom senior CME.

œUntuk logam mulia, kunci sebenarnya adalah penguatan atau pelemahan dolar AS. Jika dolar AS ternyata menjadi mata uang yang lemah pada 2019, cermati emas untuk berpotensi reli yang cukup signifikan, kata Norland kepada Kitco News.

Faktor lain termasuk kenaikan tingkat inflasi bisa menjadi bullish untuk emas, karena logam kuning dipandang sebagai lindung nilai inflasi.

"Jika kita melihat pasar tenaga kerja yang terus mengetat, dengan tingkat pengangguran turun lebih jauh, jika kita melihat beberapa tekanan terbalik pada inflasi, itu bisa menjadi sangat bullish untuk emas," kata Norland.

Pada 2019, siklus bulls baru untuk emas siap berjalan, dan investor bisa melihat harga naik ke level $ 1.500 per ounce, kata E.B. Tucker, direktur Metalla Royalty & Streaming.

Tucker mengatakan bahwa harga $ 1.900 per ons akan diperkirakan pada puncak siklus emas berikutnya, tetapi itu tidak akan terjadi dalam waktu dekat.

"Kami menyerukan $ 1.500 tahun depan, kenaikan harga emas sebesar 22%, itu akan menjadi salah satu pasar dengan kinerja terbaik di tahun yang sangat, sangat fluktuatif untuk ekuitas," kata Tucker kepada Kitco News. (Sdm)

Sumber: Kitco

 

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold Prices Settle at a Nearly 4-Month Low as Dollar Perks Up

Gold prices on Tuesday finished lower as one popular measure of the U.S. dollar teetered near a two-year high, producing headwinds for bullion. Gold for June delivery declined $4.40, or 0.3%, to settle at $1,273.20 an ounce, with the commodity suffering from the lowest most-active contract settlement since Dec. 26, according to FactSet data. The moves come as the ICE U.S. Dollar Index a key gauge of the greenback against six major rivals, was up 0.4% at 97.657. A move above 97.71 would mark...

Gold Ends Higher as The U.S. Stock Market Pauses Its Rally

Gold futures ended higher on Wednesday, rebounding from their lowest levels of the year, as a rally in stocks that took two of the three main U.S. equity indexes to records cooled, providing support for the haven metal. However, a perky dollar ” hovering around its highest level in about 22 months ” kept prices for the metal off the session™s high. Gold for June delivery rose $6.20, or 0.5%, to settle at $1,279.40 an ounce. The most-active contract settled at its lowest levels since...

Gold prices retreat to nearly 4-month low as dollar perks up

Gold prices on Tuesday headed lower as one popular measure of the U.S. dollar teetered near a two-year high, producing some headwinds for bullion. Gold for June delivery declined $3.80, or 0.3%, to trade at $1,273.80 an ounce, pushing the commodity back to its lowest level for a most-active contract since Dec. 26, according to FactSet data. The moves comes as the ICE U.S. Dollar Index a key gauge of greenback against six major rivals, was up 0.1% at 97.345. A climb to 97.71, would mark the...

USD/JPY clings to 112.00 as Tokyo opens for an active day

The USD/JPY pair is on the rounds near 111.90 as Tokyo market opens for Tuesday™s trading session. The quote seesawed at the start while marking initial reaction to the news reports that signal hardships for Iranian crude exports from the US and expected cross-party talks to safeguard her position by the UK PM May. With some of the global markets being absent of Monday, coupled with lack of big releases, traders remained mostly calm except favoring oil on supply crunch expectations and...

Oil Extends Rally; Saudis Seen Keeping Market Tight

Now that the Saudis have President Donald Trump where they want him, they're likely to milk his decision to ban Iranian oil for whatever it's worth before slowly releasing more barrels of their own to the market. New York-traded West Texas Intermediate crude settled up 75 cents, or 1.1%, at $66.30 per barrel. That extended Monday's 3% rally sparked by Trump's decision not to renew sanction waivers for importers of Iranian oil. London-traded Brent settled up higher by 47 cents, or 0.63%, at...

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