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Wall St., Main St. Bullish On Gold, See End Of Road For USD
Monday, 18 February 2019 15:47 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

Wall Street and Main Street remain bullish in the weekly Kitco News gold survey.

A number of analysts and traders cited an expectation that the U.S. dollar™s recent rally will stall, which would help gold due to the inverse relationship between the two. Others cited technical-chart strength in gold.

Seventeen market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. There were 13 votes, or 76%, calling for higher prices. There were two votes each, or 12%, for both lower and sideways.

Meanwhile, 455 respondents took part in an online Main Street poll. A total of 244 voters, or 54%, called for gold to rise. Another 115, or 25%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 96 voters, or 21%, see a sideways market.

œI think we are getting ready to head towards $1,350 per ounce by next week, said Afshin Nabavi, head of trading at trading house MKS (Switzerland) SA. œSo any retracement lower would be a good opportunity to buy, in my opinion.

Sean Lusk, director of commercial hedging with Walsh Trading, looks for gold to remain in an uptrend amid geopolitical uncertainty over issues such as U.S.-China trade negotiations and reports that President Donald Trump is going to declare an emergency in an effort to fund his border wall. He also cites gold™s ability to hold a number of lows lately just above the $1,300 level.

œFrom a technical standpoint, we should start to run here, Lusk said.

Adam Button, managing director of ForexLive.com, also said he looks for gold to rise, although he said the call is a œtough one because the trend has fizzled. Still, he continued, œI think gold has one more push in it to $1,365 on risk aversion when U.S.-China trade talks go sideways.

Several Wall Street respondents called for gold to rise on an expectation that the U.S. dollar will lose some of its upward momentum.

œThe dollar seems to be hitting resistance up here, said Bob Haberkorn, senior commodities broker with RJO Futures. Additionally, some Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak next week and are likely to tilt dovish, Haberkorn said. œThat should be supportive for gold, he said.

Charlie Nedoss, senior market strategist with LaSalle Futures Group, also said the U.S. dollar is probably getting to the high end of its trading range and he doubts it will rise further, particularly after softer U.S. economic data lately.

Eugen Weinberg, head of commodity research at Commerzbank, said that he expects gold prices to continue to rise despite recent upward momentum in the U.S. dollar, adding that it will be difficult for the U.S. dollar to keep rallying in the face of growing headwinds.

œThere are a number of factors weighing on the U.S. dollar: growing recession fears, weaker manufacturing data and a Federal Reserve that will not be raising interest rates anytime soon, Weinberg said.

Meanwhile, David Madden, senior market analyst at CMC Markets, said investors could expect to see gold rally even if the dollar does likewise. He favors buying the metal on price dips.

œDon™t expect to see any major breakouts, but the upward trend in gold is here to stay, he said. œThe U.S. dollar is strong because of weakness in other global currencies, but ultimately a neutral Federal Reserve is a headwind for legitimate dollar strength.

Richard Baker is one of the analysts who sees a temporary pullback in gold, calling for consolidation of the recent gains. He pointed out that the metal had a good week despite a strong dollar and gains in U.S. equities, and gold bounced from its 200-day moving average œlike a rubber ball earlier this month. He said 10-year inflation expectations are rising again from the early-January bottom, stabilizing real rates below.

œThis is a bullish tailwind for gold going forward, Baker said. œHowever, there is probably some consolidation ahead next week before a move higher to the retake the January high ($1,331.10).

Source: Kitco

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold poised to snap 4-day rally as metal hits a wall at around $1,370

Gold futures retreated on Monday, after a multiday rally as bullion, which has benefited from concerns about international trade clashes and a weakening global economy. The yellow metal for August delivery fell $7.50, or 0.6%, to $1,337, after closing Friday action wit a weekly loss of 0.1% based on the most-active contract prices as of June 7, FactSet data show. Prices on Friday had climbed to as high as $1,362.20, the highest since April 2018. Some commodity strategists say the precious...

USD/JPY: Tokyo open welcomes risk-on amid quiet trading

The USD/JPY pair trades little positive to 108.60 by the time Tokyo markets open on Monday. Even though lack of fresh developments concerning the US-China trade tussle and absence of major data confined market moves at the week™s start, the US Dollar (USD) pullback pleased buyers of ex-greenback majors during early Monday. India recently became the second Asian country, other than China, to levy tariffs on the US goods. The democratic country announced tariffs on 28 items from the US to...

Gold Retreats From 14-Month High as Fed Cut in Doubt

Gold dropped after hitting a 14-month high on Friday as upbeat economic data at the end of last week suggested that there wasn™t an urgent need for the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates. Spot gold as much as -0.4% to $1,336.26/oz, and traded at $1,340.08 at 9:19am in Singapore. Prices rose to $1,358.26 on Friday, highest level since April 2018. Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index steady after +0.4% Friday. U.S. stores and factories reported a pickup in activity...

Tokyo's Nikkei edges up with eyes on trade, central banks

Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei closed fractionally higher on Monday thanks to gains in blue-chip shares, with investor eyes on the US-China trade war and key central bank meetings this week. The Nikkei 225 index rose 0.03 percent, or 7.11 points, to 21,124.00, but the broader Topix index was down 0.45 percent, or 6.97 points, at 1,539.74. Source : AFP

Nikkei Tick Up in Sympathy With Hong Kong, Outlook Cloudy

Japanese share prices ticked up on Monday, erasing initial losses, after Hong Kong shares gained after Hong Kong™s leader indefinitely delayed an unpopular extradition bill that would allow citizens to be sent to mainland China for trial. Still, uncertainties over the global economy, U.S.-China trade frictions and the U.S. Federal Reserve™s policy stance kept many investors on sidelines. Japan™s Nikkei share average rose 0.11% to 21,140 but the broader Topix was down 0.24% at...

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