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Wall St., Main St. Still See Gold Bull Running Strong
Monday, 25 February 2019 16:52 WIB | GOLD CORNER |GOLDGold OutlookGold Corner

Wall Street and Main Street are unequivocally bullish on gold in the near term as the precious metal saw strong gains this past week, culminating in a 10-month high.

Although prices are ending the week off their highs, many analysts have noted that gold held important initial support levels, a good indication that prices still have room to move higher in the near term.

"I don™t think this move is done," said Sean Lusk, director of commercial hedging with Walsh Trading.

This week, 20 market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. There were 15 votes, or 75%, calling for higher prices. Three participants, or 15%, were bearish for next week. Two participants, or 10%, were neutral on the yellow metal.

Meanwhile, 734 respondents took part in an online Main Street poll. A total of 413 voters, or 56%, called for gold to rise. Another 192, or 26%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 129 voters, or 18%, saw a sideways market.

In the last survey, 76% of Wall Street and 56% of Main Street participants were bullish on gold for the current week.

Looking ahead, analysts have said that they are bullish on gold both fundamentally and technically.

"Everywhere investors look, they see problems in the world and that is going to continue to lead to save-haven demand," said George Gero, managing director at RBC Wealth Management. "Investors need a hedge because of all the unexpected headlines that continue to pop up."

Chris Vecchio, senior currency strategist at DailyFx.com, said that even though selling pressure pushed gold off its recent 10-month highs, the price has held above its 21-day moving average since mid-November.

"As far as I™m concerned, as long as this three-month trend remains in place, I am bullish on gold," he said. "Structurally, the market is technically sound."

Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said that he remains bullish on gold in the near term even if the market does see some profit-taking at elevated prices.

"It makes sense to see some traders reduce their position as gold test critical resistance levels," he said. "However, global economic uncertainty should weigh on stocks and that will ultimately drive investors looking for diversification to gold."

Despite the overall optimism in the marketplace, some analysts are warning investors to be careful buying at current levels.

Darin Newsom, independent technical analyst, said that momentum indicators show that gold is current in overbought territory.

"If April gold closes near its weekly low ($1,323.30 early Friday), it would establish what looks to be a spike reversal. Along with that, weekly Stochastics would have established another bearish crossover above the overbought level of 80%, all indicating the secondary (intermediate-term) trend has turned down again," he said.

Mark Leibovit, editor of the VR Gold Letter, said that he thinks gold has.

"The sector tends to top out just ahead of or in coincident with [Prospectors & Developers Association of Canada conference] in Toronto," he said.

Source: Kitco

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold Settles Lower, Then Climbs as Fed Signals No 2019 Rate Hikes

Gold prices finished lower on Wednesday, giving back nearly all of their gain from a day earlier, then climbed in electronic trading, finding support as the U.S. dollar weakened in the wake of the Federal Reserve™s latest policy statement. The central bank left interest rates unchanged as expected and signaled no more interest-rate increases this year. Gold for April delivery was at $1,315.20 in electronic trading shortly after the Fed news. The contract had lost $4.80, or 0.4%, to settle...

Gold Settles at a One-Week High on Dovish Fed

Gold futures settled at a one-week high on Thursday, buoyed by the Federal Reserve™s dovish policy statement, though strength in the dollar kept prices in check. On Wednesday, after gold futures settled, the central bank left interest rates unchanged as expected and signaled no further increase in interest rates this year and just one in 2020, according to its new ˜dot plot,™ and the bank said it would end its balance-sheet runoff by September. The dollar declined shortly after the...

Dollar Drops to Six-Week Low on Dovish Fed Update

The U.S. dollar turned negative Wednesday, dropping to its lowest level since early February as the Federal Reserve reaffirmed its dovish policy stance. The central bank revised its expectation of interest-rate increases in 2019 to zero, from an expected two increases previously. It also downgraded its economic outlook, forecasting 2.1% gross domestic product growth in 2019, rather than 2.3% as expected before. The PCE inflation forecast was cut to 1.8% this year, from 1.9% before. The Fed...

Gold extends rally seen on dovish Fed even as dollar stabilizes

Gold prices shot higher early Thursday, resuming the climb seen in after-hours electronic trading when the U.S. dollar weakened in the wake of the Federal Reserve™s dovish policy statement. The dollar gave back much of its post-Fed loss by early Thursday, although the precious metals that are priced in the U.S. unit maintained their rally. Gold for April delivery rose $14, or 1.1%, at $1,315.70 an ounce on Comex, about where it stood in reaction to the Fed release. The dollar, as measured...

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European Commission President Jean-Claude Juncker said Wednesday the European Union is not open to further negotiations on Britain's exit from the bloc and is unlikely to decide this week whether to give Britain an extension on its March 29 deadline. British Prime Minister Theresa May is expected to send a letter to EU leaders to ask for a delay to give her government and parliament more time to agree on how exactly the divorce should take place. So far, Britain's House of Commons has...

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