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Gold claws up from 2019 low, but ascent limited by stock-market gains

Gold trade steadied Wednesday morning, with prices poking into positive territory, after a hunt for assets viewed as risky took the haven metal to its lowest finish of the year a day ago. Gold for June delivery on Comex was up $1.10, or less than 0.1%, at $1,278.30 an ounce. June gold settled at $1,277.20 Tuesday. That was the lowest finish for a most-active contract since Dec. 26, according to FactSet data. Gold had moved lower this week as equity benchmarks in the U.S. flirted with records...

Gold drops to lowest level of the year on climb in stocks and bond yields

Gold futures declined on Tuesday, with the precious metal suffering its lowest finish year to date, as equity benchmarks in the U.S. flirted with records and government bond yields advanced, reflecting growing appetite for assets perceived as risky over so-called havens. The yellow metal may have also suffered from additional pressure as Bloomberg reported that Venezuela recently sold $400 million in gold, in a potential move to offset U.S. sanctions on the country. Gold for June delivery on...

Gold Traded Near Lowest Level This Year on Growth Optimism

Gold traded near the lowest level this year as world equities held near a six-month high on renewed optimism about global growth after China™s economy unexpectedly held up in the first quarter. China™s first-quarter GDP figures out Wednesday exceeded economist estimates and March retail sales and industrial production were also better-than-expected. That™s easing concerns about a slowdown that had rattled investors. A bearish technical indicator is also weighing on gold....

U.S. Stocks Climb Toward Records After Corporate Earnings

U.S. equities rose at the opening bell on Tuesday, following a round of better than expected corporate earnings. The S&P 500 rose 0.3% to 2,914. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 135 points, or 0.5%, to 26,520. The Nasdaq Composite was up 0.3% to 8,002. All three benchmarks are inching closer to their all-time highs established late last year. The broad-based S&P 500 is less than 1% away from its record close set in Sept. 20. Earnings from BlackRock Inc. came in higher than...

Gold Prices Fall as Economic Data, Earnings Dampen Risk Aversion

Gold prices traded lower on Tuesday as positive economic data and U.S. earnings boosted risk sentiment, dampening demand for the safe haven precious metal. At 9:02 AM ET (13:02 GMT), gold futures for June delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $9.45, or 0.7%, to $1,281.85 a troy ounce. China saw housing prices rise in March at the fastest pace since April 2017 which - adding to better-than-expected export and credit numbers released last week - eased concerns...

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Fed Meeting Will Not Be The Spark To Push Gold Prices Higher - Analysts
Monday, 18 March 2019 15:30 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

Once again the gold market is eking out a weekly gain as prices trade around the critical psychological level of $1,300 an ounce. However, according to some analyst, the market lacks a catalyst to push prices to last month's 10-month high.

Although down from its highs, the market is still preparing to the week with most gains last week, with April gold futures last traded at $1,302 an ounce, up 0.21% from the previous week.

Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank said that Thursday's 1% decline shows that the market is lacking conviction for higher prices. He added that resilience in equity markets is making gold a less attractive alternative for investors. The S&P 500 has broken above the psychological level at 2,800, last trading at 2828 points, up 3% from the previous week.

"Right now there appears to be no major need for an insurance policy so investors are shunning gold and turning to equities," he said. "I think there is growing frustration among gold investors and that is weighing on prices."

The question now on many market players' minds is what will be the catalyst to drive gold; according to some analysts anyone expecting a dovish Fed to be the spark to ignite a rally could be sorely disappointed.

It's All About The Fed

Once again all eyes will be on the Federal Reserve as it holds its monetary policy meeting this week and along with its interest rate decision will release updated economic projections. Economists are also expecting the central bank to unveil its plan to top its balance sheet reduction program.

"The median growth projection looks certain to be revised down," said economists at Capital Economics.

However, according to some analysts, these expectations are already baked into the market.

"I think the Fed pause story is largely played out," said Ryan McKay, commodity strategist with TD Securities. "Ultimately, if gold is going to go higher we need to see weaker U.S. data. The U.S. economy still appears strong compared to the rest of the world and that is keeping the U.S. dollar bid."

Although the central bank is expected to downgrade their growth and interest rate forecasts, Jasper Lawler, head of research at London Capital Group, said that he does not expect the Federal Reserve to be anywhere near dovish as the European Central Bank was two weeks ago when it surprise markets with a shift in its forward guidance, not expecting to see any rate hike until at least the end of the year.

Lawler added that there is a risk that the Fed sounds hawkish as it downplays a potential slowdown in the domestic economy.

"If the Fed says that it's adjusting its growth because of risks in the global economy or anything along those lines that could make them sound a little hawkish," he said.

Hansen added that a goldilocks outlook from the Fed -- not too hot and not too cold -- will also keep a bid under equity markets, which will cap any rally in gold.

Gold Will Still Keep It's Head Above Water

Although the Federal Reserve is not expecting to be dovish enough to drive gold prices higher, analysts are still not ready to give up on the yellow metal just yet.

Lawler said that the trend in gold is still higher as he sees sticky support around $1,280 an ounce. He added that gold remain an attractive safe-haven asset as global economic uncertainty builds.

"Overall there is still strong appetite for gold," he said. "I expect that any significant drop in gold prices will attract new buyers."

Hansen said that although there is technical bearish threats building in gold, it difficult to see prices falling significantly lower.

"There are still a lot of reasons to hold gold so I don™t see much downside either," he said.

Hansen added that he continue to remain long-term bullish on gold as long as prices hold above the key retracement level around $1,275 an ounce.

McKay also said that he sees limited downside for gold because of the global economy. Although U.S. economy remains resilient to outside threats, it can't remain strong on its own.

"At this point in the growth cycle a slowdown is natural," he said. "But if something breaks in China and Europe that will impact U.S. growth as well. On the back of slowing global economy, I don't see a lot of reasons to be overly bearish on gold."

Technical Risks To Watch

Although Hansen is long-term bullish on gold, he said that he is watching gold's technical closely as the price action is creating a bear flag formation.

"If we break below the recent lows at $1,290, we could see a sharp selloff," he said.

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold claws up from 2019 low, but ascent limited by stock-market gains

Gold trade steadied Wednesday morning, with prices poking into positive territory, after a hunt for assets viewed as risky took the haven metal to its lowest finish of the year a day ago. Gold for June delivery on Comex was up $1.10, or less than 0.1%, at $1,278.30 an ounce. June gold settled at $1,277.20 Tuesday. That was the lowest finish for a most-active contract since Dec. 26, according to FactSet data. Gold had moved lower this week as equity benchmarks in the U.S. flirted with records...

Gold drops to lowest level of the year on climb in stocks and bond yields

Gold futures declined on Tuesday, with the precious metal suffering its lowest finish year to date, as equity benchmarks in the U.S. flirted with records and government bond yields advanced, reflecting growing appetite for assets perceived as risky over so-called havens. The yellow metal may have also suffered from additional pressure as Bloomberg reported that Venezuela recently sold $400 million in gold, in a potential move to offset U.S. sanctions on the country. Gold for June delivery on...

Gold Traded Near Lowest Level This Year on Growth Optimism

Gold traded near the lowest level this year as world equities held near a six-month high on renewed optimism about global growth after China™s economy unexpectedly held up in the first quarter. China™s first-quarter GDP figures out Wednesday exceeded economist estimates and March retail sales and industrial production were also better-than-expected. That™s easing concerns about a slowdown that had rattled investors. A bearish technical indicator is also weighing on gold....

U.S. Stocks Climb Toward Records After Corporate Earnings

U.S. equities rose at the opening bell on Tuesday, following a round of better than expected corporate earnings. The S&P 500 rose 0.3% to 2,914. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 135 points, or 0.5%, to 26,520. The Nasdaq Composite was up 0.3% to 8,002. All three benchmarks are inching closer to their all-time highs established late last year. The broad-based S&P 500 is less than 1% away from its record close set in Sept. 20. Earnings from BlackRock Inc. came in higher than...

Gold Prices Fall as Economic Data, Earnings Dampen Risk Aversion

Gold prices traded lower on Tuesday as positive economic data and U.S. earnings boosted risk sentiment, dampening demand for the safe haven precious metal. At 9:02 AM ET (13:02 GMT), gold futures for June delivery on the Comex division of the New York Mercantile Exchange fell $9.45, or 0.7%, to $1,281.85 a troy ounce. China saw housing prices rise in March at the fastest pace since April 2017 which - adding to better-than-expected export and credit numbers released last week - eased concerns...

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