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Gold ends flat, then moves lower in electronic trade after Fed minutes

Gold prices finished unchanged on Wednesday, after spending much of the session losing ground on the back of strength in benchmark U.S. stock indexes. After future prices settled, minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's July meeting showed that Federal Reserve officials shied away from saying how many more easing steps they might be willing to support this year. In electronic trading, gold for December delivery was at $1,514.30 an ounce shortly after the meeting minutes. The...

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Wall St. Leans Neutral/Sideways On Gold Prices, Main St. Bullish
Monday, 15 July 2019 13:42 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

Wall Street traders and analysts are undecided or else look for gold prices to be sideways this week, while Main Street remained bullish, according to the weekly Kitco News gold survey.

The largest block of Wall Street voters were in the neutral/sideways camp, while the rest were nearly evenly split between bulls and bears. This was the first time Wall Street was not bullish since May 10, when the professionals were also neutral.

Sixteen market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. A total of seven voters, or 44%, called for gold to be either sideways or are neutral. There were five votes, or 31%, for higher, while four respondents, or 25%, look for the metal to fall.

Meanwhile, a one-year high of 961 respondents took part in an online Main Street poll. A total of 653 voters, or 67%, called for gold to rise. Another 175, or 18%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 133 voters, or 14%, saw a sideways market.

In the last survey, Main Street and Wall Street voters alike were bullish. Just before 11 a.m. EDT, last Friday, Comex August gold futures were trading $8.40 higher for the week so far at $1,408.50 an ounce.

Wall Street has a 14-12 winning record for the year, meaning respondents have been right 54% of the time. Main Street is 13-13 for 50%.

Gold prices rebounded last week, after Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell remained dovish during his congressional testimony, despite a 224,000 increase in nonfarm payrolls reported in the previous week.

"I expect higher this week on a continuation and follow-through of this past week after the Fed talk," said Bob Haberkorn, senior commodities broker with RJO Futures. The Fed is expected to cut rates, which benefits the yellow metal, he continued.

"Gold has that feel where traders and investors are not waiting to buy dips," he continued. "They™re jumping into it. When you get into that mode, you can go higher."

George Gero, managing director with RBC Wealth Management, said he looks for gold to be "up moderately" this week, now that the market worries about any Federal Reserve hawkishness have been put to rest.

"After Powell's testimony, it's clear that gold will benefit from a more dovish Fed," said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst with at Price Futures Group. "On top of that, geopolitical tensions with Iran and the U.S.-China trade war worries will give gold bulls an edge."

Jim Wyckoff, senior technical analyst with Kitco, sees gold steady to higher since the picture on the charts remains bullish.

Meanwhile, Kevin Grady, president of Phoenix Futures and Options LLC, said he is bearish for this week. "I am looking for a retracement to the July 1st low of $1,384.70," he said.

Ole Hansen, head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said that is he slightly bearish on gold in the near term as the summer doldrums could reduce momentum in the marketplace. He added that investors could also start to take some profits, as it appears a July Fed rate cut is already baked into market expectations, with limited scope of more aggressive action.

However, Hansen added that there is still a lot of global uncertainty, so he expects selling pressure to be limited. "If I'm selling, it's not to sell short; but I™m selling to reduce my exposure to neutral.

John Weyer, co-director of commercial hedging Walsh Trading, also figures gold is due for a pullback.

"It moved higher on concerns about interest rates and risk on-risk off," he said. "These concerns have subsided a little bit."

Afshin Nabavi, head of trading with MKS, said he sees gold range-bound, although he prefers to trade it from the long side. "So I guess you could say bullish," he said.

"After an impressive move higher early Thursday, gold has given back much of the gain disappointing investors; a close back above $1,410 might be seen as positive to help reinvigorate enthusiasm for the market. For now, I'd look for initial support at the psychological $1,400 level and resistance around $1,422."

Adrian Day, chairman and chief executive officer of Adrian Day Asset Management, said he doesn't see gold moving much in the this week, although he™s constructive on the metal for the longer term.

"Gold is almost priced for perfection now, so any disappointment on expectations, or easing of various geopolitical tensions, could see gold correct," Day said. "For this week, we'll say unchanged¦.However, most importantly, the sentiment has changed, and gold can now respond to positive developments. So whatever happens in the next week or two, gold is set to be meaningfully higher over the next six and 12 months."

Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management, said he is neutral on gold for the this week.

"I think all of the monetary news is out for the time being and focus is going to shift toward corporate earnings as results start coming out on this Monday," he said.

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold ends flat, then moves lower in electronic trade after Fed minutes

Gold prices finished unchanged on Wednesday, after spending much of the session losing ground on the back of strength in benchmark U.S. stock indexes. After future prices settled, minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's July meeting showed that Federal Reserve officials shied away from saying how many more easing steps they might be willing to support this year. In electronic trading, gold for December delivery was at $1,514.30 an ounce shortly after the meeting minutes. The...

Gold posts lowest finish in nearly 2 weeks as bond yields climb

Gold futures declined on Thursday, pressured by strength in bond yields as the Fed™s symposium of central bankers got underway in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. U.S. Treasury bonds weakened Thursday, sending the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield up 2.4 basis points to 1.6046%. Rising bond yields can dull the luster of gold, which offers no yield. December gold fell $7.20, or 0.5%, to settle at $1,508.50 an ounce after trading as low as $1,502.10. Prices finished at the lowest for a most-active...

Gold edges lower, focus on Jackson Hole summit for rate-cut direction

Gold prices fell marginally on Thursday, lingering around the key $1,500 level, as investors awaited the Federal Reserve chair's speech at a global central bankers' conclave for clues on future U.S. interest rate cuts. Spot gold inched down 0.2% at $1,499.60 per ounce as of 07:47 GMT. U.S. gold futures were down 0.5% at $1,507.60 an ounce. If Powell says they are going to cut rates aggressively, that may not be great for gold in the short-term since equities will gain, Halley...

U.S. oil prices settle lower as crude supplies log first weekly slump in 3 weeks

U.S. oil futures settled lower Wednesday after the government reported a weekly decrease in domestic crude supplies, the first in three weeks, but smaller than the market expected. Concerns over energy demand also continued to pressure prices. West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery fell by 45 cents, or 0.8%, to settle at $55.68 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, following gains in each of the last three trading sessions. It was at $56.77 shortly before the supply...

Gold sinks as bond yields climb

Gold futures headed lower Thursday as bond yields edged up, dimming some of the luster from the precious metal, with the Federal Reserve's annual symposium of central bankers getting underway in Jackson Hole, Wyo. December delivery was last down $12.10, or 0.8%, to reach $1,503.90 an ounce, after finishing Wednesday™s session flat. September silver lost 13 cents, or 0.7%, to $17.025 an ounce. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note added more than 3 basis points to around 1.61% early Thursday...

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