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Gold Futures Settle with a Modest Loss

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Wall Street, Main Street Sill Bullish On Gold, But Caution Creeping Higher
Monday, 12 August 2019 12:41 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

The market remains emphatically bullish on gold. But, looking past the headlines, the yellow metal is beginning to look overbought, according to some analysts.

The gold market is on track to see its biggest weekly gain in more than three years as prices trade near a fresh six-year high. Although economic and geopolitical uncertainty continues to dominate the marketplace, some analysts think the market could be close to a near-term top and is due for a consolidation.

However, sentiment remains clearly bullish as analysts are reluctant to outright short gold.

œYou can™t sell this market, said Darin Newsom, president of Darin Newsom Analysis Inc. œI don™t want to buy at this level because the market is sharply overbought, but I also won™t be the first person to sell.

Last week, 16 market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. A total of 12 voters, or 75%, called for gold to be higher this week. Bearish and neutral votes were tied with each getting two votes or 13%.

Meanwhile, 910 respondents took part in Kitco™s online Main Street poll. Participation in this week™s survey is at its highest level in more than a year. A total of 599 voters, or 65%, called for gold to rise further. Another 187 participants, or 21%, predicted for gold to fall. The remaining 124 voters, or 14%, saw a sideways market.

In the last survey, Main Street and Wall Street were both significantly bullish on prices for the week now winding down. As of 12:05 pm last Friday, Comex August gold futures were trading $1,458.30 an ounce, up 2.7% for the week.

Gold prices surged higher after the China government let the yuan rise above 7 against the U.S. dollar for the first time in more than a decade, sparking fears that the U.S. “China trade war has evolved into a currency war.

Adrian Day, president of Adrian Day Asset Management, said that although a correction is overdue in the gold market, investor sentiment in the overall financial market has changed.

œAnd if you want to buy a little gold as a hedge on the rest of your portfolio, you tend to be less price sensitive. But all those small positions add up in a market as relatively small as the gold market.  So gold could well drive further upwards, he said.

Mark Leibovit, publisher of VR Metals/Resource Letter, said that he is bullish on gold as seasonal factors continue to support prices but he also warned that investors should be prepared for a correction.

Afshin Nabavi, head of trading with MKS (Switzerland) SA, said that it would be healthy to see a pullback in gold, but added that momentum continues to support higher prices in the near-term. He reiterated his call that because of the market™s momentum, any correction could be seen as a buying opportunity.

Along with Newsom, Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management, was the second neutral vote in the latest survey. He said that although gold has room to move higher in the near-term, momentum indicators have slowed.

œGold has had a huge move in the last few months and it looks like it™s running into some resistance and looks like it wants to level off, he said. œI don™t think the rally is over but I think gold right now wants to pause and digest its recent gains.

Sean Lusk, co-director of commercial hedging at Walsh Trading, was one of the two bearish votes this week. He explained that gold™s momentum is starting to wane and it could prompt some traders to take some profits in gold.

However, he added that he would be reluctant to short the market in the current environment.

œThe market is hyper-sensitive and bullish sentiment could strengthen really quickly, he said. œI think traders should watch equity markets for near-term direction in gold.

Lusk said he would expect œback-and-fill trading to push gold to initial support at $1,495 to $1,480. However, he added that price could fall as low as $1,430 before gold bulls start to get a little nervous.

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold Futures Settle with a Modest Loss

Gold futures posted a modest loss on Tuesday, holding ground above the key $1,800 an ounce mark. Gold "definitely saw some profit taking but it is more wait and see" ahead of the next big catalyst or move, said James Hatzigiannis, chief market strategist at Ploutus Capital Advisors. There are a number of bullish developments for prices, however, including the increases in cases of coronavirus, which is supportive for the haven metal, he said. August gold fell 70 cents, or 0.04%, to settle at...

Gold Futures Settle with a Modest Gain, Buoyed by a Retreat in The U.S. Dollar

Gold futures posted a modest gain on Wednesday, with dollar-denominated prices for the metal supported by weakness in the U.S. dollar. Strength in global stock markets, on the heels of some positive news surrounding a coronavirus vaccine limited gold's price climb. August gold rose 40 cents, or 0.02%, to settle at $1,813.80 an ounce. Source : Marketwatch

Gold Holds Gain Above $1,800 as Silver Futures Advance

Gold held a two-day advance above $1,800 an ounce as investors tracked tensions between the U.S. and China, progress in developing a coronavirus vaccine, and the mixed outlook for the global economy. Silver futures neared $20 an ounce. President Donald Trump ordered an end to Hong Kong™s special status with the U.S., the latest escalation in tensions between the world™s largest economies. Trump also said he had no plans to speak with Chinese President Xi...

Hong Kong Stocks Close Lower (Review)

Hong Kong shares finished more than one percent lower Tuesday, in line with an Asian retreat, as traders fret over the reimposition of containment measures in several countries as the virus flares up again. The Hang Seng Index shed 1.14 percent, or 294.23 points, to 25,477.89. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index fell 0.83 percent, or 28.67 points, to 3,414.62 while the Shenzhen Composite Index on China's second exchange slipped 0.85 percent, or 19.83 points, to 2,309.57. Source : AFP

Oil rises slightly ahead of OPEC+ meeting

Oil prices rose slightly on Tuesday as OPEC and its allies cut production by more than agreed to in June, although demand concerns lingered due to increased cases of COVID-19 in the United States. Brent crude futures gained 18 cents, or 0.42%, to settle at $42.90 per barrel, after moving lower earlier in the session. West Texas Intermediate crude futures settled 19 cents, or 0.47%, higher at $40.29 per barrel. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies led by...

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