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Wall Street, Main Street Sill Bullish On Gold, But Caution Creeping Higher
Monday, 12 August 2019 12:41 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

The market remains emphatically bullish on gold. But, looking past the headlines, the yellow metal is beginning to look overbought, according to some analysts.

The gold market is on track to see its biggest weekly gain in more than three years as prices trade near a fresh six-year high. Although economic and geopolitical uncertainty continues to dominate the marketplace, some analysts think the market could be close to a near-term top and is due for a consolidation.

However, sentiment remains clearly bullish as analysts are reluctant to outright short gold.

œYou can™t sell this market, said Darin Newsom, president of Darin Newsom Analysis Inc. œI don™t want to buy at this level because the market is sharply overbought, but I also won™t be the first person to sell.

Last week, 16 market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. A total of 12 voters, or 75%, called for gold to be higher this week. Bearish and neutral votes were tied with each getting two votes or 13%.

Meanwhile, 910 respondents took part in Kitco™s online Main Street poll. Participation in this week™s survey is at its highest level in more than a year. A total of 599 voters, or 65%, called for gold to rise further. Another 187 participants, or 21%, predicted for gold to fall. The remaining 124 voters, or 14%, saw a sideways market.

In the last survey, Main Street and Wall Street were both significantly bullish on prices for the week now winding down. As of 12:05 pm last Friday, Comex August gold futures were trading $1,458.30 an ounce, up 2.7% for the week.

Gold prices surged higher after the China government let the yuan rise above 7 against the U.S. dollar for the first time in more than a decade, sparking fears that the U.S. “China trade war has evolved into a currency war.

Adrian Day, president of Adrian Day Asset Management, said that although a correction is overdue in the gold market, investor sentiment in the overall financial market has changed.

œAnd if you want to buy a little gold as a hedge on the rest of your portfolio, you tend to be less price sensitive. But all those small positions add up in a market as relatively small as the gold market.  So gold could well drive further upwards, he said.

Mark Leibovit, publisher of VR Metals/Resource Letter, said that he is bullish on gold as seasonal factors continue to support prices but he also warned that investors should be prepared for a correction.

Afshin Nabavi, head of trading with MKS (Switzerland) SA, said that it would be healthy to see a pullback in gold, but added that momentum continues to support higher prices in the near-term. He reiterated his call that because of the market™s momentum, any correction could be seen as a buying opportunity.

Along with Newsom, Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management, was the second neutral vote in the latest survey. He said that although gold has room to move higher in the near-term, momentum indicators have slowed.

œGold has had a huge move in the last few months and it looks like it™s running into some resistance and looks like it wants to level off, he said. œI don™t think the rally is over but I think gold right now wants to pause and digest its recent gains.

Sean Lusk, co-director of commercial hedging at Walsh Trading, was one of the two bearish votes this week. He explained that gold™s momentum is starting to wane and it could prompt some traders to take some profits in gold.

However, he added that he would be reluctant to short the market in the current environment.

œThe market is hyper-sensitive and bullish sentiment could strengthen really quickly, he said. œI think traders should watch equity markets for near-term direction in gold.

Lusk said he would expect œback-and-fill trading to push gold to initial support at $1,495 to $1,480. However, he added that price could fall as low as $1,430 before gold bulls start to get a little nervous.

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold ends flat, then moves lower in electronic trade after Fed minutes

Gold prices finished unchanged on Wednesday, after spending much of the session losing ground on the back of strength in benchmark U.S. stock indexes. After future prices settled, minutes from the Federal Open Market Committee's July meeting showed that Federal Reserve officials shied away from saying how many more easing steps they might be willing to support this year. In electronic trading, gold for December delivery was at $1,514.30 an ounce shortly after the meeting minutes. The...

Gold posts lowest finish in nearly 2 weeks as bond yields climb

Gold futures declined on Thursday, pressured by strength in bond yields as the Fed™s symposium of central bankers got underway in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. U.S. Treasury bonds weakened Thursday, sending the benchmark 10-year Treasury note yield up 2.4 basis points to 1.6046%. Rising bond yields can dull the luster of gold, which offers no yield. December gold fell $7.20, or 0.5%, to settle at $1,508.50 an ounce after trading as low as $1,502.10. Prices finished at the lowest for a most-active...

Gold edges lower, focus on Jackson Hole summit for rate-cut direction

Gold prices fell marginally on Thursday, lingering around the key $1,500 level, as investors awaited the Federal Reserve chair's speech at a global central bankers' conclave for clues on future U.S. interest rate cuts. Spot gold inched down 0.2% at $1,499.60 per ounce as of 07:47 GMT. U.S. gold futures were down 0.5% at $1,507.60 an ounce. If Powell says they are going to cut rates aggressively, that may not be great for gold in the short-term since equities will gain, Halley...

U.S. oil prices settle lower as crude supplies log first weekly slump in 3 weeks

U.S. oil futures settled lower Wednesday after the government reported a weekly decrease in domestic crude supplies, the first in three weeks, but smaller than the market expected. Concerns over energy demand also continued to pressure prices. West Texas Intermediate crude for October delivery fell by 45 cents, or 0.8%, to settle at $55.68 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, following gains in each of the last three trading sessions. It was at $56.77 shortly before the supply...

Gold sinks as bond yields climb

Gold futures headed lower Thursday as bond yields edged up, dimming some of the luster from the precious metal, with the Federal Reserve's annual symposium of central bankers getting underway in Jackson Hole, Wyo. December delivery was last down $12.10, or 0.8%, to reach $1,503.90 an ounce, after finishing Wednesday™s session flat. September silver lost 13 cents, or 0.7%, to $17.025 an ounce. The benchmark 10-year Treasury note added more than 3 basis points to around 1.61% early Thursday...

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