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Wall Street neutral on gold price, Main Street optimism hits 3-month low
Monday, 30 September 2019 15:22 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

The sidelines in the gold market are getting a little crowded with Wall Street analysts projecting range-bound trading despite rising volatility in the near-term.

Meanwhile, Main Street investors remain bullish on gold this week even as sentiment drops to a three-month low, according to the latest Kitco News Weekly Gold Survey.

A majority of analysts are turning neutral on the yellow metal after prices broke below their 50-day moving average and continued strength in the U.S. dollar weighs on the yellow metal in the near-term.

Last week, 16 market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. A total of 8 voters or 50% called for gold to trade sideways this week. Meanwhile, 5 analysts or 31% said that they see higher prices in the near-term. Three analysts or 19% saw lower prices this week.

Meanwhile, 855 respondents took part in an online Main Street poll. Looking at the results, a total of 479 voters, or 56%, called for gold to rise. Another 222, or 26%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 154 voters, or 18%, saw a sideways market.

Although a clear majority of retail investors remain bullish on gold in the near-term, sentiment is at its lowest level since mid-June and has fallen for the last four consecutive weeks.

In the last survey, Main Street and Wall Street were both bullish on prices for the week now winding down. As Friday 12:02 p.m. EDT, Comex December gold futures were trading at $1,501.80 an ounce down roughly 1% from the previous week.

Wall Street and Main Street both have an 18-16 winning record for the year to date, meaning respondents have been right 53% of the time.

Although some gold analysts have turned more cautious, they are not ready to give up on the yellow metal™s long-term rally.

Ole Hansen said that he expects gold prices to head lower this week but described the price action as œa weak correction in a strong uptrend.

œI think the uptrend remains I place but we need to see it bounce from a lower price, he said.

Hansen added that he would not be surprised to see gold prices test support at $1,450 in the near-term.

George Gero, managing director with RBC Wealth Management said that he sees potential for bargain hunting to support prices this week; however, he added that a strong U.S. dollar continues to be a major headwind for gold and that might not change anytime soon.

œThe world needs a safe haven and right now that is the U.S. dollar, he said. œBut because bond yields are so low it wouldn't take much for investors to once again see gold as the ultimate safe-haven.

Charlie Nedoss, senior market strategist with LaSalle Futures Group, described the price action as just a flushing out of weak hands in the marketplace.

He added that with gold price below their 50-day moving average his next target is support at $1,470 an ounce.

Kevin Grady, president of Phoenix Futures and Options, said that after the rally this summer, it is now time for gold prices to test support.

Although there is more risks to the downside in the near-term as volatility picks up, Grady said that he remains neutral on gold as prices ultimately continue to consolidate.

œI see any drop in the price as a healthy correction, he said. œThe best way to see if a market is strong is to sell it.

Although gold prices are ending last week down 1%, some analysts remain bullish in the near-term as uncertainty continues to dominate the marketplace.

œThere are too many issues on the world stage that are supportive of gold, from Brexit to impeachment, trade disputes and easy money, said Adrian Day, chairman and chief executive officer of Adrian Day Asset Management.

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold futures finish at their highest in more than 2 weeks

Gold futures settled at a more than two-week high on Thursday, as worries surrounding the spread of the coronavirus led to weakness in the U.S. stock market and a fall in bond yields, lifting the haven appeal of the precious metal. "Appetite towards the precious metal should remain supported by growing fears over the coronavirus outbreak in China," said Lukman Otunuga, senior research analyst at FXTM. "The general uncertainty is likely to accelerate the flight to safety with gold seen testing...

Hong Kong Stocks Sharply Down on Virus Fears (Review)

Hong Kong equities closed sharply lower on Thursday as investors took flight over the deadly SARS -like virus that has spread from China. The Hang Seng Index fell 1.52 percent, or 431.92 points, to end at 27,909.12. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index losing 2.75 percent, or 84.23 points, to close at 2,976.53, while the Shenzhen Composite Index, which tracks stocks on China's second exchange, tumbled 3.45 percent, or 62.79 points, to 1,756.82 at the finish. Source : AFP

Gold Dips on Profit-Taking, Rate Expectations Cap Losses

Gold eased on Thursday as investors booked profits from recent rallies but held above the $1,550 technical support level on continuing low interest rates and a drop in risk appetite. Spot gold was down 0.3% at $1,554.24 an ounce. U.S. gold futures fell 0.2% to $1,553.80. Gold broke above the psychological barrier of $1,500 an ounce in late December on uncertainty surrounding the U.S.-China trade deal and the global economy. Bullion climbed further to a near-seven-year peak of $1,610.90 on...

Gold Inches Lower as Investors Seek Clarity on Virus Severity

Gold edged lower on Friday as investors sought details on the severity of the China virus after the World Health Organisation stopped short of announcing the outbreak as a global emergency. Spot gold fell 0.2% to $1,559.28 per ounce by 0748 GMT, but was on track to gain 0.2% for the week. U.S. gold futures slipped 0.4% to $1,559.30. Asian shares inched higher following the WHO statement on Thursday that the new China virus does not yet constitute an international emergency. However,...

U.S. oil futures mark lowest settlement since late November

Oil futures fell sharply on Thursday, sending U.S. prices to their lowest settlement since late November, as the spread of coronavirus raised worries about the global economy and energy demand. "All markets are watching the situation with China" and the coronavirus, said Tariq Zahir, managing member at Tyche Capital Advisors. "Energy markets could see a rather [large] impact on demand, especially if this virus gets worse." March West Texas Intermediate oil fell $1.15, or 2%, to settle at...

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