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POPULAR NEWS
Gold extends loss to a third session as dollar strengthens to 1 1/2-year high

Gold prices on Monday settled lower for a third straight session as a popular gauge of the dollar strengthened to its highest level in more than 17 months, weighing on demand for the precious metal. December gold lost $5.10, or 0.4%, to settle at $1,203.50 an ounce, after posting a drop of 2% last week, falling nearly 1.4% on Friday alone. Monday marked the lowest finish for a most-active contract since Oct. 10, according to FactSet data. Prices for the metal have now posted declines in six...

Gold Holds Near One-Month Low as Inflation in Focus

Gold held near the lowest in a month as investors awaited data on inflation later this week for signs that the Federal Reserve has a case for raising interest rates further. A Labor Department report on Friday showed producer prices in the U.S. rose the most since 2012 on broad gains in costs for goods and services. Consumer inflation probably rebounded in October after easing in September, according to analyst estimates before data due Wednesday. At its meeting last...

Oil Pares Bear Market Collapse on Prospect of OPEC Curbs in 2019

Oil rose for the first time in 11 sessions on the possibility that OPEC and its allies will cut output next year and after Saudi Arabia said it will reduce sales in December. While futures in New York climbed as much as 1.3 percent on Monday, they are still down about 20 percent from a 2014-high reached early last month. Top OPEC member Saudi Arabia said exports will be curbed by 500,000 barrels a day in December, and a committee of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting...

Gold Holds Near One-Month Low as Inflation in Focus

Gold held near the lowest in a month as investors awaited data on inflation later this week for signs that the Federal Reserve has a case for raising interest rates further. A Labor Department report on Friday showed producer prices in the U.S. rose the most since 2012 on broad gains in costs for goods and services. Consumer inflation probably rebounded in October after easing in September, according to analyst estimates before data due Wednesday. At its meeting last...

Tokyo Stocks Open Lower on Monday

Tokyo stocks opened lower on Monday tracking falls on Wall Street last week amid lingering worries over global economic growth. The Nikkei 225 index was down 0.55 percent, or 121.75 points, at 22,128.50 in early trade, while the broader Topix index was down 0.50 percent, or 8.30 points, at 1,664.68. Source : AFP

BOE Waits for Brexit Clarity as Forecasts Hint at Faster Hikes
Thursday, 1 November 2018 19:24 WIB | FISCAL & MONETARY |BOE

The Bank of England hinted there may be a need for faster rate increases in the coming years in a report dominated by uncertainty over Brexit.

The Monetary Policy Committee, led by Governor Mark Carney, said the economy may start running hot earlier than previously anticipated as wage growth improves and domestic costs build. It sees the inflation rate staying above its 2 percent goal for the next two years. Interest rates were left unchanged on Thursday.

The slightly hawkish bias compared with August is tempered by the fact that the forecasts are based on an assumption for a smooth Brexit that may not come to pass. It said the exit deal with the EU remains the biggest factor when it comes to the economy and monetary policy.

œThe monetary policy response to Brexit, whatever form takes, will not be automatic and could be in either direction, the bank said in its quarterly Inflation Report. While the exact impact of Brexit œcannot be determined in advance, under all circumstances, the MPC will respond to any material change in the outlook.

In a sign of how Brexit is affecting the economy, the BOE slashed its forecast for business investment and sees stagnation this year. It also lowered its 2019 economic growth outlook slightly, to 1.7 percent. On the global economy, it said growth has become more uneven, and downside risks have increased.

The U.K. predictions, including the outlook for faster inflation, are based on market measures indicating that the BOE will deliver about three more quarter-point rate hikes by late 2021, more than were foreseen a few months ago.

But with its forecasts zero-weighted for a disorderly Brexit, there™s an increasing chance they will ultimately have to be thrown out.

The BOE assumes a relatively stable path for the pound over the next three years, a crucial determinant for inflation. At the same time, it said the currency will probably rise if there™s a Brexit deal that keeps a close relationship with the EU, or drop if the U.K. crashes out without new trade arrangements.

The BOE also noted that the situation is now different from just after the 2016 referendum, when inflation was below target and demand was weaker than supply. At the time, the bank unleashed a new round of stimulus to support growth, but it notes that there™s little it can do to offset supply shocks.

The minutes of the meeting reiterated that limited and gradual rate increases will probably be needed over the next few years. The MPC voted 9-0 at this decision to hold the benchmark interest rate at 0.75 percent, as predicted by all 56 economists in a Bloomberg survey.

Source : Bloomberg

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold extends loss to a third session as dollar strengthens to 1 1/2-year high

Gold prices on Monday settled lower for a third straight session as a popular gauge of the dollar strengthened to its highest level in more than 17 months, weighing on demand for the precious metal. December gold lost $5.10, or 0.4%, to settle at $1,203.50 an ounce, after posting a drop of 2% last week, falling nearly 1.4% on Friday alone. Monday marked the lowest finish for a most-active contract since Oct. 10, according to FactSet data. Prices for the metal have now posted declines in six...

Gold Holds Near One-Month Low as Inflation in Focus

Gold held near the lowest in a month as investors awaited data on inflation later this week for signs that the Federal Reserve has a case for raising interest rates further. A Labor Department report on Friday showed producer prices in the U.S. rose the most since 2012 on broad gains in costs for goods and services. Consumer inflation probably rebounded in October after easing in September, according to analyst estimates before data due Wednesday. At its meeting last...

Oil Pares Bear Market Collapse on Prospect of OPEC Curbs in 2019

Oil rose for the first time in 11 sessions on the possibility that OPEC and its allies will cut output next year and after Saudi Arabia said it will reduce sales in December. While futures in New York climbed as much as 1.3 percent on Monday, they are still down about 20 percent from a 2014-high reached early last month. Top OPEC member Saudi Arabia said exports will be curbed by 500,000 barrels a day in December, and a committee of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting...

Gold Holds Near One-Month Low as Inflation in Focus

Gold held near the lowest in a month as investors awaited data on inflation later this week for signs that the Federal Reserve has a case for raising interest rates further. A Labor Department report on Friday showed producer prices in the U.S. rose the most since 2012 on broad gains in costs for goods and services. Consumer inflation probably rebounded in October after easing in September, according to analyst estimates before data due Wednesday. At its meeting last...

Tokyo Stocks Open Lower on Monday

Tokyo stocks opened lower on Monday tracking falls on Wall Street last week amid lingering worries over global economic growth. The Nikkei 225 index was down 0.55 percent, or 121.75 points, at 22,128.50 in early trade, while the broader Topix index was down 0.50 percent, or 8.30 points, at 1,664.68. Source : AFP

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