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Wall St., Main St. Bullish On Gold, See End Of Road For USD
Monday, 18 February 2019 15:47 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

Wall Street and Main Street remain bullish in the weekly Kitco News gold survey.

A number of analysts and traders cited an expectation that the U.S. dollar™s recent rally will stall, which would help gold due to the inverse relationship between the two. Others cited technical-chart strength in gold.

Seventeen market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. There were 13 votes, or 76%, calling for higher prices. There were two votes each, or 12%, for both lower and sideways.

Meanwhile, 455 respondents took part in an online Main Street poll. A total of 244 voters, or 54%, called for gold to rise. Another 115, or 25%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 96 voters, or 21%, see a sideways market.

œI think we are getting ready to head towards $1,350 per ounce by next week, said Afshin Nabavi, head of trading at trading house MKS (Switzerland) SA. œSo any retracement lower would be a good opportunity to buy, in my opinion.

Sean Lusk, director of commercial hedging with Walsh Trading, looks for gold to remain in an uptrend amid geopolitical uncertainty over issues such as U.S.-China trade negotiations and reports that President Donald Trump is going to declare an emergency in an effort to fund his border wall. He also cites gold™s ability to hold a number of lows lately just above the $1,300 level.

œFrom a technical standpoint, we should start to run here, Lusk said.

Adam Button, managing director of ForexLive.com, also said he looks for gold to rise, although he said the call is a œtough one because the trend has fizzled. Still, he continued, œI think gold has one more push in it to $1,365 on risk aversion when U.S.-China trade talks go sideways.

Several Wall Street respondents called for gold to rise on an expectation that the U.S. dollar will lose some of its upward momentum.

œThe dollar seems to be hitting resistance up here, said Bob Haberkorn, senior commodities broker with RJO Futures. Additionally, some Federal Reserve officials are scheduled to speak next week and are likely to tilt dovish, Haberkorn said. œThat should be supportive for gold, he said.

Charlie Nedoss, senior market strategist with LaSalle Futures Group, also said the U.S. dollar is probably getting to the high end of its trading range and he doubts it will rise further, particularly after softer U.S. economic data lately.

Eugen Weinberg, head of commodity research at Commerzbank, said that he expects gold prices to continue to rise despite recent upward momentum in the U.S. dollar, adding that it will be difficult for the U.S. dollar to keep rallying in the face of growing headwinds.

œThere are a number of factors weighing on the U.S. dollar: growing recession fears, weaker manufacturing data and a Federal Reserve that will not be raising interest rates anytime soon, Weinberg said.

Meanwhile, David Madden, senior market analyst at CMC Markets, said investors could expect to see gold rally even if the dollar does likewise. He favors buying the metal on price dips.

œDon™t expect to see any major breakouts, but the upward trend in gold is here to stay, he said. œThe U.S. dollar is strong because of weakness in other global currencies, but ultimately a neutral Federal Reserve is a headwind for legitimate dollar strength.

Richard Baker is one of the analysts who sees a temporary pullback in gold, calling for consolidation of the recent gains. He pointed out that the metal had a good week despite a strong dollar and gains in U.S. equities, and gold bounced from its 200-day moving average œlike a rubber ball earlier this month. He said 10-year inflation expectations are rising again from the early-January bottom, stabilizing real rates below.

œThis is a bullish tailwind for gold going forward, Baker said. œHowever, there is probably some consolidation ahead next week before a move higher to the retake the January high ($1,331.10).

Source: Kitco

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold ends lower, suffers a weekly loss as bond yields rise

Gold futures ended lower on Friday, giving up earlier gains to feed a loss for the week as appetite returned for assets perceived as risky and bond yields climb. Gold pared some of its earlier gains then turned lower after data Friday revealed that the University of Michigan consumer sentiment index rebounded to 92 in September from 89.8 in August. U.S. business inventories also increased by 0.4% in July and U.S. retail sales rose 0.4% in August. December gold on Comex lost $7.90, or 0.5%,...

Hong Kong Shares End Week With Sharp Gains

Hong Kong stocks finished Friday with a flourish as investors were cheered by easing tensions in the China-US trade row while also betting on another interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve next week. The Hang Seng Index jumped 0.98 percent, or 265.06 points, to 27,352.69. Source : AFP

U.S Stocks End Mostly Lower as Dow Extends Seven-Day Streak of Gains

U.S. stocks closed mostly lower on Friday after easing trade tensions and central bank policy moves briefly buoyed investor sentiment earlier in the day. The S&P 500 was down less than 0.1% to end near 3,007. The Dow Jones Industrial Average advanced 36 points, or 0.1%, to finish around 27,219, based on preliminary numbers.The Nasdaq Composite fell 0.2% to end near 8,177. The blue-chip Dow clinched its seventh consecutive gain, its longest such streak since 2018. Both the Dow and the...

Sterling Rises on Speculation of U.K. Softening Brexit Stance

The pound rose on Friday on a newspaper report that the U.K. government is contemplating some type of regulatory divergence between Northern Ireland the U.K. in an attempt to secure a Brexit deal. According to The Times, Northern Ireland's DUP would be willing to accept some EU regulations following a U.K. withdrawal from the EU -- replacing the Irish backstop proposal -- raising some hopes of a new deal. But the DUP denied the report shortly afterwards. GBP/USD jumped 0.8% to 1.2431 as of...

U.S. Stocks Set for Weekly Gain as Treasury Yields Rise

U.S. stocks were mostlly higher as the rotation from growth to value shares carried on. Treasury yields climbed and the dollar slipped. Shares globally are headed for a third weekly gain thanks to easing trade fears and a new round of central bank stimulus. Higher-than-forecast U.S. retail sales in August added to the optimism. The Stoxx Europe 600 rose a fourth day led by banks and miners. The S&P 500 Index rose 0.1% to 3,012.34 as of 11:35 a.m. New York time, the highest in more than...

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