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Gold finishes lower as worries over China virus ebb

Gold futures ended with a modest loss on Wednesday, lacking support as some equities markets in Asia and the U.S. climbed and while commodities traders weighed the potential economic impact of an outbreak of a serious virus in China. Gold for February delivery on Comex lost $1.20, or 0.08%, to settle at $1,556.70 an ounce, while March silver added 2 cents, or 0.1%, to $17.828 an ounce following a 1.5% loss Tuesday. In other metals trading, March palladium rose 4.6% to $2,335.60 an ounce,...

Gold Settles Lower as Traders Weigh The Impact of China's Coronavirus on Demand for The Metal

Gold futures settled modestly lower on Tuesday, with some sources attributing the loss to the possibility that a viral outbreak may cut demand for the precious metal as China prepares for its New Year celebrations this weekend. The Chinese tend to buy more gold for the holiday celebration. Other sources, however, said that a further spread of the coronavirus may eventually support haven buying of gold. CNN reported Tuesday that the U.S. was expected to announce its first case of Wuhan...

Gold Steady Amid Virus Concerns; Palladium Decline

Gold was steady in Asia as markets assessed the likely impact of the spread of China™s coronavirus. Palladium extended its decline. Spot gold -0.1% to $1,556.81/oz at 7:41am in Singapore; -0.2% Tuesday. Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index steady after +0.1% Tuesday. Other precious metals: Silver little changed at $17.7762/oz, Platinum -0.1% to $999.92/oz, Palladium -0.3% to $2,394.35/oz; prices fell 5.6% Tuesday, biggest loss since Aug. 1. Source: Bloomberg

Oil falls slightly amid Libya oil crisis

Oil prices dipped on Tuesday on expectations that a well-supplied market would be able to absorb disruptions that have cut Libya's crude production to a trickle. Brent crude was down 65 cents at $64.55 a barrel, having hit a session low of $64.06. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled down 20 cents at $58.34, after hitting a low of $57.68 earlier in the day. Almost all of Libya™s crude export capacity is now under force majeure - a waiver on contractual obligations - after pipeline...

Gold Holds Steady On Central Bank Policy Expectations

Gold prices were little changed on Wednesday as technical support on expected dovish monetary policy from central banks offset revived appetite for riskier assets and an upbeat dollar. Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,555.73 an ounce at 13:22 GMT. U.S. gold futures dipped 0.2% to $1,555.50. Investors will keep a close eye on the European Central Bank™s first policy meeting of the year on Thursday, while the Fed™s first meeting is scheduled for Jan. 28-29. Lower interest rates reduce the...

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Wall St, Main St. Look For Still-Higher Gold Prices
Monday, 17 June 2019 14:43 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold OutlookGold Corner

Gold hit its highest levels in more than a year on Friday, and Wall Street and Main Street look for the momentum to continue this week, based on the weekly Kitco News gold survey.

The metal has been underpinned by continuing trade tensions between the U.S. and its partners, resulting in worries about an economic slowdown that in turn has market participants looking for a rate cut from the U.S. Federal Open Market Committee before the end of the summer. Attacks on a pair of tankers in the Middle East prompted additional buying. And whenever markets break higher, they generate technical-chart momentum.

Twenty-two market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. A total of 16 voters, or 73%, called for gold to rise. There were three votes each, or 14%, for either lower or sideways/neutral.

Meanwhile, 558 respondents took part in an online Main Street poll. A total of 389 voters, or 70%, called for gold to rise. Another 122, or 22%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 47 voters, or 8%, saw a sideways market.

In the last survey, Main Street and Wall Street were both bullish. As of 11 a.m. EDT on Friday, they were right, with Comex August gold futures were trading up 0.4% for the week so far at $1,351.40 an ounce. The contract traded as high as $1,362.20 an ounce, its highest level since April 2018.

"With the tensions escalading between Iran and the U.S. as well as all the tariffs on and off, I think gold has a good potential to see new highs," said Afshin Nabavi, head of trading at MKS. "This week, [the] FOMC will have a meeting on Wednesday¦and the market thinks they may want to cut interest rates."

Richard Baker, editor of the Eureka Miner's Report, commented that not only has gold benefited from its role as a safe haven, but real interest rates remain suppressed given high demand for U.S. Treasury notes, which he noted is a bullish development for non-interest-bearing assets like gold.

"As oil prices have fallen on weakening demand, gold has proved resilient and, more recently, on the move higher," Baker said. "A gold price model based on Brent [crude], 10-year real rates, [the] euro and Japanese yen demonstrates high fidelity since early March. That model suggests that Comex gold should return to Friday morning's highs closing above $1,360 per ounce this week. Silver should follow above the $15-per-ounce level."

Adrian Day, chairman and chief executive officer of Adrian Day Asset Management, also said higher. "Importantly, sentiment seems to be changing, and so bullish factors are starting to be reflected in the price," Day said.

Jim Wyckoff, senior technical analyst with Kitco News, said he looks for gold to keep rising since the charts turned more bullish.

"Gold is in a solid bull market," said Phil Flynn, senior market analyst with at Price Futures Group. "Increased geopolitical risks as well as concerns about the global economy will give gold a bid. More talk of a slower global economy will have investors looking at gold as a hedge."

Mark Leibovit, publisher of VR Metals/Resource Letter, said the seasonal low is "behind us" and "an attack at $1,370 in the gold is in the near-term horizon."

Meanwhile, Ole Hansen head of commodity strategy at Saxo Bank, said he is short-term bearish on gold, citing the risk that the Federal Reserve does not prepare markets for a July rate cut. However, he added that he would look to buy dips as weak economic data point to a slower U.S. economy and will prompt the Fed to eventually cut rates.

David Madden, market analyst at CMC markets, also described himself as bearish, not expecting the Fed to set the stage for a July rate cut.

"Some traders are getting ahead of themselves in many different markets, not just gold," he said. "If the Fed doesn™t tee up a rate cut for July, then that would cause sentiment to dramatically shift."

Two participants said they are neutral-sideways camp.

"I am neutral on gold for this week because I think it could potentially stage big moves in both directions in the coming days," said Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management. "While gold is breaking out last Friday, if the Fed is not as dovish this week as some on the Street seem to be hoping, the U.S. dollar could bounce back."

Neil Mellor, currency strategist at Bank of New York Mellen, also said he is neutral on gold and the U.S. dollar, as he expects the Federal Reserve strikes a neutral note and rate-cut expectations get pushed to later in the year.

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold finishes lower as worries over China virus ebb

Gold futures ended with a modest loss on Wednesday, lacking support as some equities markets in Asia and the U.S. climbed and while commodities traders weighed the potential economic impact of an outbreak of a serious virus in China. Gold for February delivery on Comex lost $1.20, or 0.08%, to settle at $1,556.70 an ounce, while March silver added 2 cents, or 0.1%, to $17.828 an ounce following a 1.5% loss Tuesday. In other metals trading, March palladium rose 4.6% to $2,335.60 an ounce,...

Gold Settles Lower as Traders Weigh The Impact of China's Coronavirus on Demand for The Metal

Gold futures settled modestly lower on Tuesday, with some sources attributing the loss to the possibility that a viral outbreak may cut demand for the precious metal as China prepares for its New Year celebrations this weekend. The Chinese tend to buy more gold for the holiday celebration. Other sources, however, said that a further spread of the coronavirus may eventually support haven buying of gold. CNN reported Tuesday that the U.S. was expected to announce its first case of Wuhan...

Gold Steady Amid Virus Concerns; Palladium Decline

Gold was steady in Asia as markets assessed the likely impact of the spread of China™s coronavirus. Palladium extended its decline. Spot gold -0.1% to $1,556.81/oz at 7:41am in Singapore; -0.2% Tuesday. Bloomberg Dollar Spot Index steady after +0.1% Tuesday. Other precious metals: Silver little changed at $17.7762/oz, Platinum -0.1% to $999.92/oz, Palladium -0.3% to $2,394.35/oz; prices fell 5.6% Tuesday, biggest loss since Aug. 1. Source: Bloomberg

Oil falls slightly amid Libya oil crisis

Oil prices dipped on Tuesday on expectations that a well-supplied market would be able to absorb disruptions that have cut Libya's crude production to a trickle. Brent crude was down 65 cents at $64.55 a barrel, having hit a session low of $64.06. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude settled down 20 cents at $58.34, after hitting a low of $57.68 earlier in the day. Almost all of Libya™s crude export capacity is now under force majeure - a waiver on contractual obligations - after pipeline...

Gold Holds Steady On Central Bank Policy Expectations

Gold prices were little changed on Wednesday as technical support on expected dovish monetary policy from central banks offset revived appetite for riskier assets and an upbeat dollar. Spot gold was down 0.1% at $1,555.73 an ounce at 13:22 GMT. U.S. gold futures dipped 0.2% to $1,555.50. Investors will keep a close eye on the European Central Bank™s first policy meeting of the year on Thursday, while the Fed™s first meeting is scheduled for Jan. 28-29. Lower interest rates reduce the...

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