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Gold Surges as Saudi Attack Spurs Haven Demand Ahead of Fed Meet

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Gold Survey Shows Bulls In Full Control
Monday, 5 August 2019 13:19 WIB | GOLD CORNER |

The gold bears had their chance to take control of the market but failed, and now the bulls are in full control as both Wall Street and Main Street expect to see higher prices in the near-term as uncertainty dominates financial markets.

"The bears tried to break the market and they failed so now we get to see what this market is really made of," said Charlie Nedoss, senior market strategist with LaSalle Futures Group.

With the Federal Reserve's monetary policy in the rearview mirror, analysts say that global uncertainty and an escalation in the trade war between China and the U.S. will continue to drive gold higher after prices held critical support at $1,400 an ounce.

Last week, 14 market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. A total of 13 voters, or 93%, called for gold to be higher. There was only one or 7%, who called for lower price and nobody in the survey saw neutral price action in the near-term.

Meanwhile, 870 respondents took part in Kitco's online Main Street poll. A total of 540 voters, or 62%, called for gold to rise. Another 229, or 25%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 117 voters, or 13%, saw a sideways market.

In the last survey, Main Street and Wall Street were both bullish on prices for the week now winding down. As of 12:05 pm, last Friday, Comex August gold futures were trading $1,458.30 an ounce, up 2.7% for the last week.

Gold prices are ending last week at a fresh six-year high, recovering from a mid-week selloff after the Federal Reserve, as expected, cut rates by 25 basis points, but signaled that it wasn™t in a hurry to continue to cut rates.

Gold started its late-week rally after President Donald Trump announced on twitter that the government was imposing a 10% tariff on $300 billion in imported Chinese goods. This is on top of the 25% tariffs already targeting $250 billion in Chinese imports.

The new salvo in the ongoing trade war is one of the biggest factors why analysts are so bullish on gold in the near-term.

"Trump does whatever he wants and doesn't really listen to anybody," said Afshin Nabavi, head of trading with MKS (Switzerland). "For this reason I don't think we will see an end to the uncertainty anytime soon."

Nabavi added that even before Trump™s tweet last Thursday, gold was demonstrating resilient strength by holding support at $1,400 an ounce.

"I think $1,400 will become a very strong and important level of support for gold moving forward," he said.

Nedoss said that gold saw a major technical move on Thursday as prices recovered from Wednesday's selloff and ended the day at a session highs. He added that he expects the ongoing trade war to weigh on the U.S. dollar.

"I just don't see a lot of resistance for gold," he said. "There is a lot of fear out there and not a lot of alternatives."

Sean Lusk, co-director of commercial hedging at Walsh Trading, said that he remains bullish on gold with a target of $1,445 in the medium term. He added that equity markets are seeing some major selling pressure and he expects some of that capital to flow into gold.

"You just can't compete with all this uncertainty and gold thrives in this environment," he said.

As for how to play gold, Lusk said that he liked buying November $1,500 calls and selling two November $1,560 calls.

The lone gold bear in last week's survey was Frank McGee, precious metals dealer at Alliance Financial, who said that a lot of the news driving gold is now priced into the market.

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold Surges as Saudi Attack Spurs Haven Demand Ahead of Fed Meet

Gold and silver rallied after a strike against Saudi Arabian oil facilities hurt supplies and prompted a record surge in oil prices, with investors seeking haven assets at the start of a week that™ll also see critical policy decisions from central banks including the Federal Reserve. Gold jumped more than 1%, trading above $1,500 an ounce, while its cheaper sister metal climbed more than 2% as investors gauged the ramifications from the assuault against the world's biggest...

Dollar falls as oil attacks send investors to safety

The dollar fell while safe-havens and currencies of oil producing countries rallied on Monday, following an attack on Saudi Arabian refining facilities that disrupted global oil supply and heightened Middle East tensions. Oil prices surged more than 15% following the strikes on two plants, including the world's biggest petroleum processing facility in Abqaiq, knocked out more than 5% of global oil supply. Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi group claimed responsibility for the damage, but the U.S....

Gold Prices Jump Amid Middle East Tensions; Investors Eye Central Banks Meetings

Gold Prices jumped on Monday in Asia after a strike against two Saudi Arabian oil facilities heightened tensions in the Middle East and boosted safe-haven demand. Gold Futures for delivery on the Comex exchange gained 0.8% to $1,510.95a troy ounce by 12:38 AM ET (04:38 GMT). An attack on Saudi Arabia's oil facilities on Saturday knocked out more than 5% of global oil supply, intensifying tensions in the Middle East and sent oil prices surging as much as 20%. U.S. President Donald Trump said...

Hong Kong stocks open in negative territory

Hong Kong stocks fell in the first few minutes of trade Monday following last week's healthy gains, while traders were also spooked by more protest violence in the city at the weekend. The Hang Seng Index eased 0.69 percent, or 189.85 points, to 27,162.84. The benchmark Shanghai Composite Index rose 0.35 percent, or 10.68 points, to 3,041.92, while the Shenzhen Composite Index, which tracks stocks on China's second exchange, added 0.35 percent, or 5.89 points, to 1,687.12. Source : AFP

Oil prices soar 10% after attack on Saudi facilities hits global supply

Oil prices retreated on Monday after hitting their highest since May at the open, on fears over supply disruptions following an attack on Saudi Arabia's oil facilities on Saturday that cut more than 5% of global oil supply. International benchmark Brent crude futures rose $7.06 a barrel or 11.7% from their New York close on Friday to stand at $67.28 per barrel by 01:08 GMT, after soaring more than 19% to a session high of $71.95 per barrel at the opening. U.S. West Texas Intermediate (WTI)...

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