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Gold falls 1% after robust US jobs data

Gold slid 1% on Friday as strong U.S. jobs data renewed bets the Federal Reserve would hold pat on interest rates and boosted demand for riskier assets, while supply-squeezed palladium soared to a new record high. U.S. job growth increased by the most in 10 months in November, confirming that the economy remained on a moderate expansion path despite a prolonged manufacturing slump. Spot gold slipped 1% to $1,461.01 per ounce. U.S. gold futures settled down 1.1% at $1,465.1 per...

Gold Futures Drop as U.S. Payrolls Rise More Than Expected

Gold futures plunged, erasing a weekly gain, as stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data helped ease economic concerns that had fueled demand for the metal as a haven. Payrolls jumped 266,000, the most since January, according to a government report Friday that topped all estimates in a Bloomberg survey calling for 180,000 jobs. Gold has struggled to sustain recent rallies as resilient U.S. economic data and bets on progress toward a U.S.-China trade deal limit demand for the...

U.S. oil futures post biggest weekly rise since June

Oil futures settled higher on Friday, with U.S. prices up more than 7% for the week to mark their highest weekly percentage climb since June. Prices got a lift after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies announced an agreement to cut production by an additional 500,000 barrels a day starting in January. Including the 1.2 million barrels in reductions under the current pact, that will bring total output cuts to 1.7 million barrels a day from October 2018...

U.S. Jobs Trounce Forecasts With 266,000 Gain; Wages Heat Up

U.S. job gains roared back in November as unemployment matched a fresh half-century low and wages topped estimates, giving the Federal Reserve more reason to hold interest rates steady after three straight cuts. Stock futures and the dollar jumped while Treasuries slid. Payrolls jumped 266,000, the most since January, after an upwardly revised 156,000 advance the prior month, according to a Labor Department reportFriday that topped all estimates in a Bloomberg survey calling for...

Oil on track for weekly gain as OPEC+ set to confirm supply cut

Oil prices fell on Friday, but were set for weekly gains ahead of the OPEC+ meeting which kicked off Friday in Vienna. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia - a grouping known as OPEC+ - agreed on Thursday to more output cuts to avert oversupply as economic growth stagnates amid the U.S.-China trade war. But OPEC stopped short of pledging action beyond March and analysts have questioned the impact of the latest curbs. Brent futures were...

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Gold Prices Gridlocked, Bears Take Wheel
Monday, 21 October 2019 13:10 WIB | GOLD CORNER |Gold CornerGold Outlook

Although Wall Street bears have an advantage, ultimately, gridlock in the gold market means prices are not going anywhere fast, according to the latest results from the Kitco News Weekly Gold Survey.

Main Street investors remain bullish on gold in the near-term. Retail investors have been bullish on gold since mid-May, which was the last time bullish bets were below the 50% level.

Bill Baruch, president of Blue Line Futures, said that gold is struggling as the investor sentiment in broader financial markets waffles between risk-on and risk-off sentiment. He noted that the door is open for lower prices. Still, the yellow metal continues to hold critical support just below $1,500 an ounce.

"I don't expect a ton of volatility, but I am cautiously optimistic in the near-term and remain a long-term bull," he said.

Last week, 14 market professionals took part in the Wall Street survey. Seven analysts or 50% said they see lower prices this week. Two analysts, or 14%, predicted gold would rise. The remaining five voters, or 36%, saw a sideways market or else were neutral.

Meanwhile, 876 respondents took part in an online Main Street poll. A total of 490 voters, or 56%, called for gold to rise. Another 214, or 24%, predicted gold would fall. The remaining 172 voters, or 20%, saw a sideways market.

In the last survey, both Wall Street and Main Street proved to be correct as both sides called for higher prices for last two week. As of 12.57 p.m. EST, December gold futures last traded at $1,495.50 an ounce, up nearly 0.5% from the previous week.

Wall Streets' record is now 20-17 year to date, meaning respondents have been right 54% of the time. Meanwhile, Main Street™s record improved to 19-18, meaning this group has been right 51% so far this year.

Adrian Day, chairman and chief executive officer of Adrian Day Asset Management, said that he is bullish on gold in the near-term, but doesn™t see a dramatic rise in the price.

Although investor sentiment has improved in financial markets, he noted that there is still a lot of uncertainty in the marketplace.

"Despite some positive developments towards a China trade agreement and Brexit”which would both be negative for gold -- neither of these two agreements is yet final," he said. "Brexit has to be approved by the U.K. Parliament, for example. There remain many uncertainties that are positive for gold, not least of which is the direction of monetary policy around the world."

For many analysts, the Brexit vote over the weekend among British politicians could be an important event for gold.

Colin Cieszynski, chief market strategist at SIA Wealth Management, said that he is neutral on gold ahead of the vote.

"I think it could potentially make a significant move depending on what happens this weekend in the U.K. If Parliament approves the recent UK-EU deal, confidence could improve and gold could decline," he said. "If Parliament rejects the deal and Brexit is delayed again, gold could hold steady. If Parliament rejects the deal and chaos ensues, uncertainty could spark a gold rally."

Even if Parliament does approve the proposed Brexit deal, Ashfin Nabavi, head of trading with MKS (Switzerland) S.A., said that investor angst won't be fading away anytime soon. He explained that there is still a lot of ambiguity about how the British economy will fair once it leaves the European Union. Economic weakness in the U.K. could then bleed into the E.U., which could impact the entire global economy.

"A lot of this uncertainty is turning into nightmares for some investors," he said. "We are in unchartered territory and it wouldn™t take much to push investors back into gold."

Navabi said that he is neutral on gold in the near-term but still sees potential for higher prices.

"I would prefer to trade the range from the long-side," he said. "I don™t want to be short in this market."

Kristina Hooper, chief market strategist at Invesco, said that she is neutral on prices as prices remain trapped in a range; however, she added that selling pressure is starting to build.

"There is a lot of geopolitical risks out there, and so I expect prices to ebb and flow with the news on geopolitical developments," she said. "However, yields have moved relatively higher in recent days, making the opportunity cost of owning gold to be higher and exerting downward pressure on gold prices."

Source: Kitco News

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POPULAR NEWS
Gold falls 1% after robust US jobs data

Gold slid 1% on Friday as strong U.S. jobs data renewed bets the Federal Reserve would hold pat on interest rates and boosted demand for riskier assets, while supply-squeezed palladium soared to a new record high. U.S. job growth increased by the most in 10 months in November, confirming that the economy remained on a moderate expansion path despite a prolonged manufacturing slump. Spot gold slipped 1% to $1,461.01 per ounce. U.S. gold futures settled down 1.1% at $1,465.1 per...

Gold Futures Drop as U.S. Payrolls Rise More Than Expected

Gold futures plunged, erasing a weekly gain, as stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs data helped ease economic concerns that had fueled demand for the metal as a haven. Payrolls jumped 266,000, the most since January, according to a government report Friday that topped all estimates in a Bloomberg survey calling for 180,000 jobs. Gold has struggled to sustain recent rallies as resilient U.S. economic data and bets on progress toward a U.S.-China trade deal limit demand for the...

U.S. oil futures post biggest weekly rise since June

Oil futures settled higher on Friday, with U.S. prices up more than 7% for the week to mark their highest weekly percentage climb since June. Prices got a lift after the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies announced an agreement to cut production by an additional 500,000 barrels a day starting in January. Including the 1.2 million barrels in reductions under the current pact, that will bring total output cuts to 1.7 million barrels a day from October 2018...

U.S. Jobs Trounce Forecasts With 266,000 Gain; Wages Heat Up

U.S. job gains roared back in November as unemployment matched a fresh half-century low and wages topped estimates, giving the Federal Reserve more reason to hold interest rates steady after three straight cuts. Stock futures and the dollar jumped while Treasuries slid. Payrolls jumped 266,000, the most since January, after an upwardly revised 156,000 advance the prior month, according to a Labor Department reportFriday that topped all estimates in a Bloomberg survey calling for...

Oil on track for weekly gain as OPEC+ set to confirm supply cut

Oil prices fell on Friday, but were set for weekly gains ahead of the OPEC+ meeting which kicked off Friday in Vienna. The Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) and allies including Russia - a grouping known as OPEC+ - agreed on Thursday to more output cuts to avert oversupply as economic growth stagnates amid the U.S.-China trade war. But OPEC stopped short of pledging action beyond March and analysts have questioned the impact of the latest curbs. Brent futures were...

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